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Canary in Coal Mine: Trouble Ahead for Poll Leaders Trump and Clinton

Preferred candidate for president, is classified at least, and the most untrustworthy, and the needs and problems of ordinary people are the least likely as Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, and their parties' primaries leadership...


This exciting new national poll released today by Quinnipiac University is just one element. Understand that this is a national survey, and only one, and there is a lot that can be changed over time, I party in the general election, voters in primaries in seven insights gleaned from this recent survey wanted to relate.

1. We saw before the House of Representatives and the Senate president constituency for Republicans and Democrats to their parties' candidates lining up almost unanimously, is incredibly polarized. Only 1% or 2% a divided opposition. You may recently wrote, it is the individual who will decide the outcome of elections next year, and as of today a little up and down the ballot are inclined to vote Republican

2. Hillary Clinton's unfavorable rating today a net negative 11 points, and a net negative 18 points among independents. It deteriorated sharply during the four months until the start of the 3-point positive movement in March with the network. Trump card in the common and distinct from minus 32 points, have a net positive assessment of the disastrous negative.

3. She's honest and trustworthy by a stunning 57%, and 62% of the individual is seen. Trump opinion is just as bad, and 58% are not being credible. It's a solid platform to run a campaign if they do not fix it, and they want to win even more difficult is trying to govern the country.

4. It is very important to the value of 0.52%, Hillary said (what the Democrats always seem to be doing well), "We care about the needs and problems of ordinary people." 63% do not care about that trump the needs and problems of the voters. Again, this is a profound imbalance in both of them is to keep going in this election cycle.

5. Why and what does this mean to their respective primaries? Motivation is often the dominant force in the absence of real opposition, as well as determine their own primaries. Support for the selection of this race, but keep in mind that a lagging index, and leading indicators to watch and likability, and communication, and faith to virtues. They are the canary in the coal mine next to him to solve the problem of signal. Hillary in the general election, the primary base of support is the trump card - she and Trump are very vulnerable because they are beaten.

The issue of the number of voters under the supervision of one of the Council's work through the economy and about 6. It's a social problem, guns, immigration, terrorism or environment. This means you Democrat, Republican or Independent, whether it is true. Most voters still feel left out of any recovery and the financial situation has not changed in 25 years.

"/ Loyal, honest," "strong leadership" and "choose the most important in their vote decision 7. When asked to select the value that cares about you," the most important, followed closely by "true / honest" to voters chose "to your needs Who cares. "A series of strong leadership qualities polling process in each state with the trumpets, two of the most important qualities they are flawed. Especially the Republican Party, where it will take them over their opponents. Are you crazy or wrong about this, but it is not credible and not to trump the Republican candidate, if he is not really important to you, and then you have the same campaign against Hillary determine that. Trump and Secretary to the quality of the arguments against the use of the publication.

Again, this is just a moment in time, but this new study is that we are witnessing in this race seems to be the same with that trend line. Democratic Party, Hillary supporters are still popular, and in the Democratic Party primaries, she still has some weaknesses, but the problem in the general election if the Republican nominee is a reasonable option. And Triumph are doing well at the moment, and leads the primaries, and his large flat weighted problems, and despite a strong alternative that can be trusted in any increase to take him down quickly. All in all a great nation is incredibly unfold.

There you have it.

Analyst Matthew Dowd, ABC News special correspondent. Opinions expressed in this column do not necessarily reflect the views of ABC News

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